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Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. The AFL season starts on March 18th and we hope to see a somewhat normal season after a challenging season in Can someone knock them off their perch this season? They will need to have a great start this week as well. They let the tigers back into the game but it was the final quarter where they kept the tigers scoreless that won them the game.
While Riewoldt kicked 3 for the tigers. They had problems with it when they last played but the big advantage for the tigers is that they kick the ball straight in front of goal. Port by 14 points. Saturday we have the second final of the weekend with the Cats coming off one of the most impressive wins in recent finals history. This week they take on the Brisbane Lions the Gabba in a massive game for both these clubs.
This is the last chance for the Cats in my eyes the list is again but what a list it is. Stars aligning you say. Well, things are looking great for the Brisbane lions as well. They get a home grand final if the can win this one. Also with a little bit of work they are kicking a lot straighter in front of goal which was their major problem in the middle of the year.
The Brisbane defence is outstanding in keeping the ball in there forward 50 but if any side can get through the Brisbane defence its the experienced Geelong side. Geelong to win by 20 points. Friday night we see if the Tigers can bounce back from what was a disappointing loss to the Lions or if the Saints can continue on with this great play under the Brett Ratten. St Kilda on the other hand played great football but allowed the Bulldogs back into the game in the final moments that sent a shock into the nervous systems of fans.
They have played som inspiring football all year but with Paddy Ryder going down and Richmond being one of the worst ruck to advantage sides they could have had a massive advantage in this area. With that in mind, I think the Tigers will win this game easily. Saturday we have the second final of the weekend, the Cats are coming off a loss against the Power last week and will be taking on the surprise winners against the Eagles in Collingwood.
Both sides are very good defensively but it was Tom Hawkins inability to kick straight or a goal last week that lost the game for the Cats. We see the Coleman medalist bouncing back this week against the Collingwood defence. Last week the Eagles tall targets accounted for 8 goals 6 of the Eagles 11 goals 9. Collingwood last week had great games from players that have struggled in recent months like Mason Cox.
Do they seem classier than the Geelong midfield? With that in mind, and with the Cats having classier players in all 3 aspects of the ground I feel the Cats will win this game but they will have to find some foot speed next week to beat the Lions in a Prelim Final the Gabba. The last time these 2 sides played each other it was a 60 point win to the Cats, but that game was played in Queensland. Both sides are very even across the board within both disposal and game style.
Travis boak a player I expect to be in the top 3 of the Brownlow later in the year will need to have a big game. He should be tagged by Guthrie or Duncan but he will still manage to get over 20 disposal thanks to his aerobic capacity. Normally having a final at the Gabba would be a dream come true for the Lions. But they take on a side with a better record then them at the Gabba.
When you look at the stats the Lions are winning this game. But the one thing that will stop them from winning this game is the fact that the Lions struggle to kick straight when the pressure is on. They have missed the most set shots of any side this year. While the Tigers have straight shooters. It can be very dishearting for the Lions to control the ball and the game but not get the end result of kicking goals. On Saturday we have the Elimination finals with the first one starting at 4.
When you look at the last 5 weeks on face value you think that the Saints would be down on form with 3 loses in the last 5 games while the Bulldogs have been flying winning 4 of the last 5 they played. The Saints average 14 more hit-outs than the Bulldogs. He is that important to that side. Our last game is the easiest to pick according to the bookies.
This game is played in WA where the Eagles have been a totally different side. But it did show that the Pies struggle to contain aside on the big grounds like Optus stadium where this final will be played. Both of these ruckmen are elite in their craft. The Roos will be happy to get the season over and done with, the injuries and the lack of depth in their team has really been found out this year. The Eagles will be looking to get on a roll before the finals.
Suggested Bets: Eagles The saints will miss Zac Jones who is out this week with a hamstring but I feel the saints will be just good enough. A month of go the crows were looking at trying to get their first win of the year not they are hoping to pull off the greatest escape beating the Tigers and getting off the bottom of the ladder. Depending on how many players they rest this game will be close as the tigers are playing really tough football.
Well, the Lions will be over the moon right now with the Chance to play every finals game at the Gabba including the Grand Final they are 6 points clear of the tigers in third and have the chance to make up for last year where they went out in straight sets. Carlton will be hoping to be positive with a good win and a way to send out club champion Kade Simpson the right way like his great mate Bryce Gibbs went out last week.
Cats to win this one but the swans will give them a good test before the finals. This could be a very special game with the bulldogs needing to win this to move back into the final 8. Thursday night football starts with the match that we could be watching in the first week of the finals.
St Kilda is currently 6th on the ladder while the West Coast Eagles are 5th. The Eagles have been a lot more inconsistent in QLD this year. If this game was being played in WA they would be unbackable. I really like how the dockers keep fighting in every game. If the dockers can find a way to score they will be a much better side next year.
Look for this to be a low scoring game as the Kangaroos are still struggling to kick goals. The Power is sitting pretty on top of the ladder. Charlie Dixon up forward kicking bags of goals Travis Boak in the middle is putting together a Brownlow winning season. They are also very underrated in defence but that is they hold on to the ball so well around the ground. Ken Hinkley has really got his team firing just before finals.
We have a real 8 point game here between 2 sides that are fighting for the final spot in the 8. GWS we worst they struggled to get the ball in the forward 50 against the Crows, who have now won 2 in a row. They have gone from a high scoring great attacking side that made it all the way to the grand final. In a game that could put up another crazy outcome in a crazy season, we have the bottom of the table crows coming off 2 straight wins against the Blues.
Dogs will be too strong here but the hawks will like playing in what looks to be great conditions. The Swans will be looking to bounce back against the Lions here after giving up the Win against the Blues mid-week. They may need to rest one or 2 players just so they are cherry ripe for the finals. With a win here they should be able to do that. The Swans will put up a fight here but it should be an easy win for Brisbane.
The midfield is young but with Ellis in there to help build some of the best talents in the country they improved every week. Collingwood still needs the same players to dominate week in week out. Going for an upset here Suns at the Plus. The way the Demons are playing at the moment they should get an easy win. These 2 sides are very well matched. I feel the midfield of the Giants is going to be able to get on top of the Blues.
Brisbane takes on Collingwood in what could be game of the round. The lions who deserve to be the favourite need to improve if they are going to be a final 4 side. A win against the Magpies will help towards that cause. The Lions need to kick straighter towards goal, they have no problem getting the ball in the forward 50 but the inaccurate kick has cost them a game or two and if they keep it up it may cost them a final.
The Pies are great defensively but I feel the lions forwards are playing better football. This game looks like a massive mismatch with the top of the table Power against the 17th placed Roos. The Roos are struggling to do anything positive at the moment.
While the hawks looked poor against the winless Crows. They had no run and continue to play around with the ball. This helped a poor pressure side like the crows to tackle there way to a win. The Saints need to win this game to get back on track as they are sitting 7th with a lot of teams trying to get the final spots in the top 8. The Cats are missing some stars but they still sit 2nd on the ladder with a game style that just keeps on winning.
This week they take on the Bombers whos season will be over if they cant win this game. In a game that could put up an upset, we have the bulldogs against the eagles. The Dockers play their second game in quick succession when they take on the Demons. The Demons are playing great football and should really should beat the dockers. What will the Crows do now they have the pressure off after beating the hawks. Well, they will have to be at there best to win against the Giants. The Blues are putting together a very nice side that has [postives like Harry Mckay and welsh that will help them become a finals team in the future while the swans still missing buddy may need to rebuild to become the dominant force we expect them to be each year.
Carlton should win this in a low scoring game as Sydney still struggle to kick a match-winning score. The Suns have a lot going for them with King up forward and some of the best young midfielders in the league the future looks great for them. This is a very even match when it comes down to the stats. What a game this could turn out to be. The Tigers are playing good football and the forwards are starting to kick goals. I really like the Eagle and the way they have been playing, if this game was in WA the eagle would be lost to my bet of the round.
The Bulldogs play Friday night against the Cats. What can you say about the cats, every year they just keep finding ways to win games and stay at the top of the ladder. This year the are kicking goals but it the defence that has been stronger averaging on 50 points against them each game its one of the best defences in the league. This game looks like a massive mismatch with the top of the table Power against the 16th placed Swans.
The swans year go worst last week with Buddy being ruled out for the season with a hamstring injury. The Power just got over the line against the hawks but they still played some very tough football. With a skilful midfield, they should stay on top of the table with an easy win here that I think will stay under the total points scoreline as well. Freo takes on the Giants at Optus in an afternoon game that all the stats point to a low scoring game.
Both sides average under 53 points while both sides also average below average scores kick against them. With Freo only allowing 37 points kicked on them per game with this being the case the line is 1. With a Great young key Forward and a midfield that keeps on running and getting the ball into the 50 with ease, the Saints are playing the type of football that can cause a couple of upsets in the finals.
The Pies have found their way into the 8 and its on the back of a very strong defence. The Blues, on the other hand, are building and a good team that will be a finals team in years once the young players get used to AFL football. Collingwood in a close one. The Suns take on the Roos in the last game of this round.
The Suns have been a bright spark this year and Stewy Dew needs to be congratulated on how he has got them playing. The Roos on the other hand has a lot of good players on the sidelines. They need to find a way to get game into some of the young players to find out if they are up to the AFL standard or if they are just a list clogger.
This is why I have to go with the Suns. The suns put up a good show against the Tigers. This short break will be even tougher the Blues just got after the line thanks to an after the siren goal in a low scoring game. I think will be the same. The Bulldogs were lead last week by a fantastic game from the Bont. He has been a little down this year but if he can put a couple of good games together the bulldogs may be able to finish the year strong with a few wins.
The Power takes on the hawks at the Adelaide Oval. The hawks are playing terrible and with a lot of injuries including the latest of Sicily. The Hawks need to start playing the younger players to see if they have to go back to the draft or if they will need to clean house. The hawks will be struggling to win this game.
Port will be looking for a big percentage boost to stay on top of the ladder. This game is the dream time game between the Bombers and Tigers but this time is being played in the NT. With the Bombers getting back some start players I feel they may just struggle to run out the full 4 quarters and the tigers will win this one in a close game. Fremantle take on the swans in a very interesting game on Saturday night. The Dockers have been competitive winning 2 of their last 3 games and only just losing last week to a kick after the final siren.
The swans on the other hand are still struggling to kick big scores or getting back to back forward entries. Geelong takes on the winless Crows in Adelaide. The Cats are starting to click with Tom Hawkins still being the massive target up forward. The Saints will be playing the Lions in the game of the round, The fast movement has been a hallmark of both sides this year but the saints have been a lot straighter at kicking goals.
The Lions have cost them self percentage and even a couple of games thanks to poor kicking. The Eagles are loving being back in WA while the Giants are looking to find a spot in the top 8. Kennedy has been kicking goals for fun the last couple of games and defensively the eagles are tackling hard. Both sides are struggling to move the ball with any speed and accurately.
The Roos will need to have a look at their list after this year. Round 12 starts with a Sydney derby in WA. The only problem that could stop this is the open spaces of Optus Stadium. Friday night football starts with the game of the round Geelong vs Port. Both teams are looking to guarantee a spot in the top 4. Both sides are coming off great wins with Geelong playing fantastic football on Monday night.
The Lions take on the Kangaroos in the early game on Saturday. If the Lion could kick straight they could be in a better situation then they are at the moment. Our Brownlow pick Lockie Neale is still getting the job done week after week but he needs to deliver the ball into the 50 to help his forwards get better shots. This game has one of the lowest lines I have seen in a long time. Sports bet has the Total points line at You can understand why.
I have to think that Collingwood will stop the Demons from scoring again but games at the Gabba are normally high scoring well over points anyway so we will take the overs as well. The BattLE Between 2 sides that are struggling to win a game or meet expectations. The Bulldogs will need to win this game to be any hope of making it back into the top 8 While the Crows just need to win a game full stop. After losing to Collingwood midweek where they looked to have their chance something bad would have to happen for the Crows to win this one.
The Saints will be looking to bounce back this week against the Bombers who took on the suns on Wednesday Night. The Saints are a very good side offensively with the hard-running Brad Hill in their side but last game it showed how much of a hole another recruit in Zak Jones left in the St Kilda side. The midfield is strong but it will take one of these 2 to start kicking bags of goals each game for them to win. The Eagles are loving being back in WA while the Hawks are thinking of starting to blood some young players.
The Hawks season is on the edge at the moment with the side not running tackling or moving the ball forward like the normal hawks. With the suns playing on Wednesday they have a short week so look for them to be tired at the end of this game.
Both sides are coming off a mid-week game so the sides may be a lot different than what they were mid-week. I would think the Cats may rest a couple more players than the saints but it really is something that you have to wait and see who is missing from both sides.
Freo got over the top of the Pies while the hawks came back from being 5 goals down at one stage to beat the Blues. Both sides will have the open spaces of Optus Stadium but with Nat Fyfe still being a little underdone, I think the Hawks will be able to get on top of Freo. Against the Crows, they should be able to kick a few goals and build some confidence in a side that needs to start stringing wins together to earn a shot at finals football.
The Bombers are a side that seems to win against the sides they should but struggle to beat any side that in the 8. Lockie Neale is still in Brownlow form but Dusty is starting to play great footy with a body that seems to be handling the increased amount of games. The Saints keep marching on even the biggest fan would be happily surprised that the saints are sitting 3rd on the ladder. They Could be leading the comp as 2 of the saints loses they were up by 4 goals at one stage of the game.
Slowly the GWS are starting to build towards the back end of the season. After being the Tigers they defeated the Suns last week. Melbourne takes on the Power on Thursday night in what will be an interesting game the Power is still on top of the ladder and play a very attractive style of football.
Friday night football starts with an early game at 5. The hawthorn kids need to step up down forward if they are a chance to beat the Blues. This is one of these games they should win. The Bombers take on the Lions at the home of the gold coast suns. Our Brownlow pick Lachie Neale is still getting the job done week after week so we have to stick with the Lions.
What an amazing effort from a side this Tipster always had faith in. This week after a nice break they Take on the Swans who gave the hapless hawks a beating last week. Thank Tom Papley. He was fantastic and kicked a majority of their score. Do I see that happening this week?
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In when the AFL was founded it consisted of 8 teams, all from Victoria. Victoria has the majority of AFL teams, 10 teams and this includes 9 teams based in Melbourne. There are two teams from the other four states. The AFL season has various games taking place around Australia. There are 23 weeks of regular and home and away games which feature the 18 AFL teams. The final 8 teams which are at the top of the log will then play each other in the AFL final which lasts about 4 weeks.
Two clubs will be eliminated from the final within the first three weeks reducing AFL betting options. The last two teams will face each other during the AFL grand final which takes place in the fourth week. The winner of the final match is awarded with the AFL premiership title. Each member of the winning team is also given a gold Premiership Medal.
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Futures markets, winning margins, line betting and, of course, head-to-head markets all exist at Sportsbet, which is sure to include more markets as the season unfolds. World's Favourite Bookmaker Live Streaming. AFLW Teams
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