A pair of blowouts on Thanksgiving served as a fairly entertaining start to a week that includes must-watch matchups like the Kansas City Chiefs facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Tennessee Titans playing the Indianapolis Colts. Meanwhile, the league is still struggling mightily with the coronavirus. Week 12 with all picks made against the spread.
Line: Chiefs Tom Brady can clearly still do many things effectively. He already has more touchdown passes, 25, for the Buccaneers than he had all of last season for the Patriots, and Tampa Bay is averaging Though Brady still has clear value, it is worth noting that he has already thrown more interceptions than he did last year, and is throwing them at his highest rate since According to the N.
Tampa Bay has risen to the occasion against several good teams — delivering convincing wins against the Panthers, the Raiders and the Packers — and looked fairly inept in losses to the Rams, the Saints twice and the Bears. The Chiefs on the other hand, have no such problems with consistency. Ahead of the playoffs, Kansas City might want to work out the trouble it had slowing down the offense of its division rivals in Las Vegas, but the Chiefs are a sterling against other teams, with Patrick Mahomes presumably on the way to his second Most Valuable Player Award.
At their best, the Buccaneers could beat the Chiefs, but knowing when the best version of Tampa Bay will show up is impossible. Pick: Chiefs Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills , 1 p. Just how much momentum that play sucked away from Buffalo will be determined this weekend in a home game against the Chargers , who have had too many injuries on defense to be relevant, but have enough offensive talent alongside quarterback Justin Herbert to cause problems for any opponent.
It is expected to be 49 degrees and clear at game time in Orchard Park, N. Buffalo is likely to win, but the score should be closer than oddsmakers are predicting. Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts , 1 p. Despite an ugly start last weekend, the Colts showed how great their defense can be in a thrilling win over Green Bay.
After falling behind, , at halftime, Indianapolis limited the Packers to a field goal on five second-half possessions and forced a fumble in overtime to set up a game-winning field goal. The Colts, who will be without star defensive tackle DeForest Buckner who is on the Covid reserve list, face another stiff test this week from the Titans , who shook off a bit of a cold streak by beating Baltimore in overtime.
To add some spice, this game could go a long way to determining which of these teams win the A. The Colts are a much more balanced team. Ultimately, the Colts have a few too many advantages in this matchup to doubt them. Pick: Colts San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams , p. There is a difference between a bad team and one that is simply overcome by injuries, and San Francisco has been more of the latter in its letdown season.
The Upshot still gives the 49ers an 11 percent chance of qualifying for the postseason , but the team is more suited to a different role: spoiler. This week, the 49ers travel to Los Angeles to face the surging Rams who have pulled even with Seattle at the top of the N. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo remains out with a high ankle sprain, but the team appears to be getting running backs Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman and Jeff Wilson back from their injuries.
If wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk is cleared from the Covid reserve list in time for this game, Coach Kyle Shanahan could devise a run-heavy game plan using those four players to make up for the current weakness at quarterback. Will that be enough to beat the Rams?
Maybe not. To make a division rival sweat a little? Las Vegas Raiders at Atlanta Falcons , 1 p. There is no such thing as a moral victory, but the Raiders should be holding their heads high after very nearly beating the Chiefs in a game that came down to which team had the ball last. Had Las Vegas gotten one more possession, the score easily could have gone the other way. Pick : Raiders Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers , p.
Aaron Rodgers is coming off a disappointing loss, is going up against a division rival that might be starting a third-string quarterback and is playing in prime time. Chicago might get running back David Montgomery back this week, but the choice for the Bears at quarterback will come down to the health of Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky. If neither can go, Tyler Bray will presumably start.
All three, at this point in their careers, are bad. The scoring should be fairly low, but it could still result in a lopsided win for Green Bay. Pick: Packers Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings , 1 p. Should Bridgewater be active, however, he could do quite a bit of damage against the Vikings , even without McCaffrey, as the Panthers have a fairly underrated collection of receivers. If Bridgewater is out, the math changes.
But expecting even a point margin of victory from a team that has won by an average of just 3 points in its last three games seems a bit unrealistic. Giants at Seattle Seahawks , p. The Giants have won three consecutive games, pulling into a tie with Washington at the top of the N. Much of the optimism over those improvements fell away last weekend when Jones injured a hamstring.
The team managed a few field goals without him, but there is no question that a switch to Colt McCoy has made the already-remote chance of an upset of the Seahawks on the road seem almost absurd. Pick: Seahawks Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers , p. Line: Packers That score, along with a 2-point conversion, gave the Eagles a respectable 6-point loss.
Keeping things that close against the Packers will be a much more difficult task. Pick: Packers Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans , 1 p. With defensive tackle DeForest Buckner on the Covid reserve list last weekend, the Colts looked like a different team. Tennessee took full advantage, with running back Derrick Henry racking up three first-half touchdowns in a blowout win.
Pick: Colts Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings , 1 p. The Vikings have improved drastically after a horrible start to the season, winning four of their last five games while looking much improved on defense — not all that impressive considering how bad they were in their first six games. The Jaguars have lost ten straight, with an atrocious defense, and they plan to give the journeyman quarterback Mike Glennon a second straight start.
Double-digit point spreads are always risky, but this game certainly has the makings of a blowout. Also, it would be wise to make sure Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins, running back Dalvin Cook and wide receivers Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson are active in your fantasy football lineups.
Pick: Vikings Las Vegas Raiders at Jets , 1 p. The game started slowly, seemed to go off the rails after a roughing-the-kicker penalty extended a drive that resulted in a touchdown and got continually worse until time ran out.
But given that running back Josh Jacobs might miss this game with an ankle injury, the Jets could at least cover the spread. New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons , 1 p. Because Taysom Hill will continue to start at quarterback in place of the injured Drew Brees, the Saints will stick with a run-heavy approach. But the versatile Hill has demonstrated a strong connection with wide receiver Michael Thomas, and that could help should New Orleans need a big play at some point.
Pick: Saints Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins , 1 p. Line: Dolphins Cincinnati was dealt a crushing blow two weeks ago with the season-ending injury to the rookie quarterback Joe Burrow, and while keeping the score close against the Giants last weekend was a welcome surprise, the prospect of their doing something similar this weekend seems far-fetched. They can probably keep the game tighter than the Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears , 1 p.
The Bears have lost five straight since their start to the season, and the Lions , after picking up their fourth loss in five games, fired their coach and their general manager last weekend. Buffalo Bills at San Francisco 49ers , p. The 49ers got running back Raheem Mostert and cornerback Richard Sherman back from injuries last weekend and proceeded to give the Rams their first loss at SoFi Stadium.
Buffalo is favored for a reason, but the 49ers seemed to enjoy the role of spoiler last week, and they will undoubtedly be looking for a repeat.
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