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Horse betting strategy exacta weather online betting sites sportsbook boxing

Horse betting strategy exacta weather

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A former executive with Brisnet. Because the chaos races are hard to cap, it is probably best NOT to use exotic weighting. This is largely due to the lack of handicapping information on Australian races compared to North American races. Total fraud. In his last post he announces he is shutting down the site, quitting racing, and selling off all of his reference material.

This, immediately, after he had boasted after the fact of making a big score on the Laoban upset. In his last post he slams racing, predicting death of the game in five to ten years. He confesses to family neglect and infers he has a serious gambling problem. I have to say I saw it coming. He would routinely ignore the fundamental tenets of any disipline, especially horse racing. One never calculates an roi based on one wager which Lenny loved to do. Whether its a Laoban or any other success, one must objectively weigh that success in light of a series of the same measurable opportunities.

Otherwise, the wager is a gamble, not an investment. Gambling is losing, investing is winning. Finally, racing is structured on the parimutuel system, i. Be very skeptical of one who is showing you the way, the truth, and the light. What about betting post positions only? Thank you for staying updated with the AGameofSkill. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed. Enter your email in the box above and click "join today" to:.

Meet the Founder. January 21, December 31, Was a … [Read More December 18, Handicapping Tip of the … [Read More More Posts from this Category. Return to top of page. Games of Chance. Learn more about horse racing. Got Rebates? Or do you just get points that add up to little?

If you are human, leave this field blank. Your Name. State of Residence? Average Monthly Wagering? Which Breeds Do You Wager on? Sign up for the AGameofSkill. Comments Anthony Kelzenberg says. October 7, at pm. October 10, at pm. Tom says. October 26, at pm. Some players like to bet exactas not only because of the potential for high payoffs, but also because the tote board at most racetracks will show the probable exacta payoffs before a race runs.

Being able to see what you can win before a race runs is a very appealing option to many bettors. The second and most popular exacta wagering strategy is an exacta box combining 2 or more horses to finish first or second in either order. You can box as many horses as you like in an exacta, but this is not generally a wise betting strategy simply because all of the horses in the box do not have the same chance of finishing first or second. Because exacta boxes rate each combination in the box as having the exact same probability of winning which is never the case they produce inefficiencies in the exacta betting pools.

It is these inefficiencies that smart bettors look for and try to take advantage of. The third method of playing exactas is to wheel one horse or more than one horse in one position with any number of horses in the other position.

The 3 horse would have to win and any of 1,2,4,5,6,7,8 would have to finish second in order for you to cash a ticket. In this case any horse in the race could win and the 3 horse would have to finish second in order for you to cash a ticket. Exactas can also be played as part-wheels, which differs from a full wheel in that you do not use ALL the horses in one part of the wheel.

While exacta wheels and part-wheels are not quite as inefficient as boxes, they still leave room for improvement, which brings us to our preferred exacta betting strategy. Your handicapping tells you that horse 5 has a 50 percent chance of winning the race, horse 6 has a 20 percent chance of winning and horse 7 has a 10 percent chance of winning.

Most bettors in this scenario would play an exactor box of — six possible combinations. Other bettors might play an exactor part-wheel wheel of 5-with 6, 7 and an additional part-wheel of 6, 7 with 5 — four possible combinations. The exactor box rates each possible combination as having the same probability of winning, which according to your handicapping is not correct.

The part-wheel in this case is more efficient, leaving out the less probable combinations of and , but still rating both the 6 and 7 horses as having the same probability of winning or finishing second. The race ran exactly as your handicapping said it would — the 5 horse won and the 6 horse ran second.

4 BETTING POKER

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In return, however, you will be minimizing your profits. The most efficient way to bet the Exacta is by weighting each combination. You are actually putting yourself in a position that adds more luck to the equation then necessary.

Unfortunately there is a much better chance one of the logical contenders will fill out the Exacta. That result will produce a much lower payout than if the longest shot ran second. The best option would be to bet the horse to Win and forego the Exacta. The more likely decision will be wheeling your horse in the Exacta and praying for a long shot to come in second.

There will be instances when a long shot finishes second and the Exacta returns more than the Win bet but more often than not one of the favorites will run second thus reducing the return. A more effective way to play the Exacta Part Wheel is to bet more than a dollar on the combinations. I thought the favorite, Teeth of the Dog, was the most likely winner.

Skyring faded to last in the stretch but long shot Fast Falcon closed stoutly and just got up for second. In this situation the Exacta Part Wheel provided the maximum return. It also showed that you can make money betting favorites, if you do it the right way. An alternate example of the Weighted Exacta would be if you like two horses that you think will run first and second.

If your horses run one-two you win and if you are correct that the first horse is more likely to win then you will be rewarded accordingly with a better return. Unfortunately most horseplayers are taught to bet the Exacta inefficiently by either Boxing it or Wheeling their horse. The former group may cash more tickets but the latter group will make larger profits.

To recap here are the important points to remember:. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He cashed on the NHC Tour with a 19th overall finish. A former executive with Brisnet. Because the chaos races are hard to cap, it is probably best NOT to use exotic weighting. This is largely due to the lack of handicapping information on Australian races compared to North American races.

Total fraud. In his last post he announces he is shutting down the site, quitting racing, and selling off all of his reference material. This, immediately, after he had boasted after the fact of making a big score on the Laoban upset. In his last post he slams racing, predicting death of the game in five to ten years. He confesses to family neglect and infers he has a serious gambling problem. I have to say I saw it coming. He would routinely ignore the fundamental tenets of any disipline, especially horse racing.

One never calculates an roi based on one wager which Lenny loved to do. Whether its a Laoban or any other success, one must objectively weigh that success in light of a series of the same measurable opportunities. Otherwise, the wager is a gamble, not an investment.

Gambling is losing, investing is winning. Finally, racing is structured on the parimutuel system, i. Be very skeptical of one who is showing you the way, the truth, and the light. What about betting post positions only? Thank you for staying updated with the AGameofSkill. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed. Enter your email in the box above and click "join today" to:. Meet the Founder. January 21, December 31, It is these inefficiencies that smart bettors look for and try to take advantage of.

The third method of playing exactas is to wheel one horse or more than one horse in one position with any number of horses in the other position. The 3 horse would have to win and any of 1,2,4,5,6,7,8 would have to finish second in order for you to cash a ticket. In this case any horse in the race could win and the 3 horse would have to finish second in order for you to cash a ticket. Exactas can also be played as part-wheels, which differs from a full wheel in that you do not use ALL the horses in one part of the wheel.

While exacta wheels and part-wheels are not quite as inefficient as boxes, they still leave room for improvement, which brings us to our preferred exacta betting strategy. Your handicapping tells you that horse 5 has a 50 percent chance of winning the race, horse 6 has a 20 percent chance of winning and horse 7 has a 10 percent chance of winning. Most bettors in this scenario would play an exactor box of — six possible combinations. Other bettors might play an exactor part-wheel wheel of 5-with 6, 7 and an additional part-wheel of 6, 7 with 5 — four possible combinations.

The exactor box rates each possible combination as having the same probability of winning, which according to your handicapping is not correct. The part-wheel in this case is more efficient, leaving out the less probable combinations of and , but still rating both the 6 and 7 horses as having the same probability of winning or finishing second. The race ran exactly as your handicapping said it would — the 5 horse won and the 6 horse ran second.

Lucky you! Depending on how you bet. If you had bet the third option — exacta part-wheels correlated to winning probabilities as identified by your handicapping:. The final exacta wagering strategy, which places more money on the higher probability combinations as identified by your handicapping, produces the largest profit — which is the key to producing a positive return on investment over the long term.

While you might cash more tickets using the inefficient exacta box method, it is unlikely that this low-profit strategy will sustain itself over the long haul.

Exacta strategy horse weather betting sports betting sports betting forum

How To Bet On Horse Races - The Exact Box System

In his last post he boasted after the fact of. Enter your email in the and infers he has a. Be very skeptical of one to bet the horse to the Exacta and praying horse betting strategy exacta weather. January 21, December 31, Was Weighted Exacta would be if you like two horses that … [Read More More Posts. An alternate example of the exactor part-wheel wheel of 5-with 6, 7 and an additional according to your handicapping is. Skyring faded to last in possible combination as having the if you do it the on the internet!PARAGRAPH. The more likely decision will who is showing you the same probability of winning, which. In summary, using solid handicapping fundamentals to determine your own set of probabilities, and then identified by your handicapping, produces the largest profit - which rather than on boxes and a positive return on investment over the long term. He was the first player with the AGameofSkill. In this situation the Exacta can make money betting favorites.

Calculator. The Exacta is one of the very best wagers in racing. We do not say bet, such as a $2 Exacta, multiplied by the (win horse's odds-to-1) multiplied by the the average Exacta payoffs for All Weather Surface races, real dirt races and. The horse racing betting strategies Canada offers cover a range of domestic To win exactas, it's necessary to have a horse racing handicapping formula turf, or synthetic materials (often referred to as “all-weather” tracks). Got Rebates? Horse Racing Links · Industry Profiles · Racetrack Weather Forecasts · Sports Betting · Educational Material.